The PGA Tour season wraps up this week with the 2025 Tour Championship at East Lake Golf Club in Atlanta. The FedExCup champion will be crowned, taking home a $10 million payout. With only 30 players in the field, the stakes are high this week. Below, we look at Tour Championship odds from BetMGM Sportsbook’s odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.
The FedExCup Playoffs field was trimmed from 50 to 30 players at the BMW Championship, which Scottie Scheffler won. Unlike in years past, the Tour Championship will not have starting strokes for players based on their position in the FedExCup standings. Therefore, the winner of this week’s tournament will also be the FedExCup champion.
Scheffler is the heavy favorite at +165, followed by Rory McIlroy (+800), Tommy Fleetwood (+1200) and Ludvig Aberg (+1400). It’s a loaded field with only 30 players, heightening the level of competition in Atlanta.
East Lake (par 71, 7,490 yards) underwent a major restoration project following the 2023 Tour Championship, completely transforming the layout and appearance of the course. Holes were significantly changed, and grass types were swapped out in the fairways and greens, making it feel like a vastly different track.
Tour Championship – Expert picks
Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 9:33 a.m. ET.
Rory McIlroy (+800)
McIlroy won here in 2022 and has finished no worse than 16th in his career at this event. East Lake is a long course and McIlroy is one of the longest hitters on tour, giving him an edge over most players in the field. And with there being no starting strokes anymore, he won’t be chasing down Scheffler.
Viktor Hovland (+2000)
Hovland is a former winner here, taking home the title in 2023. He also finished fifth in 2021, 12th last year and 15th in 2022, showing good form at East Lake. His game seems to be rounding into form after finishing seventh last week at the BMW, making him a real contender at the Tour Championship this week.
Sam Burns (+2200)
Burns tied for fourth at the BMW Championship last week, 5 shots off the pace set by Scheffler. That performance got him back on track after some subpar performances, but he’s another player who tends to succeed at East Lake. He finished 12th last year, eighth in 2023 and 18th in 2021, with his worst finish being 24th in 2022.
Tour Championship picks – Contenders
Harry Hall (+4000)
Hall is making some noise leading into the Ryder Cup selection deadline and though he hasn’t garnered much interest from the European team, that could change with a win this week. He’s finished 28th or better in 11 straight starts this season, including a solo sixth last week.
Keegan Bradley (+4000)
Bradley isn’t turning his full attention to the Ryder Cup just yet, putting his focus on this week’s Tour Championship where he finished ninth last year after the course’s redesign. He’s a great driver of the ball and keeps it in the fairway, making him a perfect fit for East Lake where hitting fairways is critical.
Tour Championship picks – Long shots
Sungjae Im (+6600)
Im is a perennial contender at East Lake, finishing between second and 24th in each of the last 5 years. He may not be in the best form but he’s played well enough lately to earn his spot in the Tour Championship.
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